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Using Statistics to Win at Football Betting
Using statistics which is available from the an internet site you'll be able to download each of the results day-by-day from virtually any football league on the globe. You'll be able to study the statistical analysis on the recent results for each league that you will be enthusiastic about for your of the current season to present, for instance:-

% of matches under well as over 2.5 goals.

% of matches with each and every variety of goals from 0-7 % of matches using the ten most regularly observed scores, in descending order.

This information by itself can be be extremely useful, earlier this season I realized that there were practically no games in the French League 1 exceeding 2.5 goals, so I was making money backing the unders on around 1.8 on each game. Eventually, everyone noticed the thing famine in France, and by Xmas the unders price had collapsed to around 1.5-1.6 for most games, not only that; more games were groing through 2.5 goals. I designed a lot of money out of it from Sep-Dec, but gave up following the pro's moved in, and the value choose to go.

The machine in this section is based on another feature of the - its forecasting. It is possible to select forthcoming games (in almost any league), and a % chance of each result's given. By way of example, We are looking at it today as well as for this upcoming Man Utd v Arsenal game the prediction is:

Man Utd 60%, Draw 19%, Arsenal 21 %

These %ages can readily become predicted decimal odds while using the formula :- Odds = 100/%age.

So for this game the predicted chances are Man Utd 100/60 = 1.66, Draw 100/19 = 5.26, Arsenal 100/21 = 4.76. The actual odds on Betfair are Man Utd 2.2, Draw 3.3, Arsenal 3.95 Most of you should have guessed where this really is heading chances are!! The system will comprise 2 filters, firstly a result with a > 50% chance as calculated from the website and secondly the cost must be more than 20% higher than the predicted price. So, with this example Man Utd are the pick (>50%), along with the actual costs are 2.2/1.66 = 1.32 times or 32% more than the predicted price. A great example of value betting, you might be backing something using a in excess of 50% potential for winning at price a lot more than 20% greater than the probability. In the example above, in old money you're getting 6/5 with regards to a 4/6 shot. If you had one of these brilliant each day then soon choosing rich. I can't think of any other illustration of where the predicted and actual odds could be compared in this way basic mathematical precision. For additional information about soccer statistics web site: click to read more